The Phoenix Suns (9-32) welcome the Sacramento Kings (20-20) to Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns look to snap their six-game losing streak. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 8, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
In the Kings’ last outing, they beat the Orlando Magic, 111-95, despite being 8-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were topped by the Charlotte Hornets, 119-113, and were not able to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Sacramento game went 32.5 points under the projected point total of 238.5, while the Phoenix game went 6.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.
Sacramento dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.0 (below their season average of 22.0) and a turnover percentage of 7.8 (better than their season average of 11.4). Orlando had marks of 9.4 and 14.1, respectively, for those same stats. Phoenix, meanwhile, made 10 of their 25 three pointers (40.0 percent). T.J. Warren played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 23 points, five rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, De’Aaron Fox had a good outing for Sacramento, contributing 20 points and five steals.
In their first matchup this year, Buddy Hield led the Kings to a 122-105 win. He recorded 20 points and five rebounds. Sacramento covered as a 5.5-point favorite and the two teams combined for 227 points, which was just over the projected point total of 222.5. The Kings’ 11.7 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Suns, who had a rate of 17.9.
Of the Kings’ 39 games with betting action, 27 have finished over the total. Sacramento comes into the game with records of 20-20 straight up (SU) and 22-17 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Sacramento, games involving the Suns have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (53.7 percent). Additionally, Phoenix owns records of 9-32 SU and 17-24 ATS.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on fire recently for Sacramento, averaging 19 points,3.8 assists,1.8 steals over the last five games.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Phoenix offense. Phoenix ranks 29th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.2 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Sacramento forces the sixth-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).
Kings vs. Suns Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 17th in rebounds per game (44.5) while the Suns rank 28th (40.4).
- Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (21.1) while Phoenix ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.0).
- The Suns rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (28.8) while the Kings rank 29th (34.1).
- Sacramento ranks 10th in steals per game (8.4) while Phoenix ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (9.3).
- Sacramento ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Phoenix ranks 27th (11.1).
- The Kings average 22.6 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Suns rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.0).
- The Kings rank eighth in assists per game (25.6) while the Suns rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- Sacramento averages 52.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Phoenix ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.1).
- When allowing below 100 points, Sacramento is 6-0 and Phoenix is 3-1.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Suns are 8-20 and the Kings are 19-18.
- Phoenix is 9-13 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 10-9 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 16 of the Kings’ 19 road games, while 12 of the Suns’ 22 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Phoenix are both 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 8.8 for the season.
