The Sacramento Kings (11-14), 3-point favorites, will be at the Chase Center to challenge the Golden State Warriors (5-22) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 210.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 15, 2019.
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last matchup. The Kings (8.5-point favorites) were defeated by the New York Knicks, 103-101, while the Warriors (14-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 114-106. The Sacramento game went 6.5 points under the projected point total of 210.5, while the Golden State game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5.
Sacramento did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (6-8; 75.0 percent) while Golden State had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.0 (above their season average of 22.6). Marquese Chriss played well for Golden State, putting up 12 points, 13 rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Sacramento was lifted by Buddy Hield, who contributed 34 points and 12 rebounds.
The Warriors dominated this series last year, taking all four games. In the most recent matchup, Golden State won 125-123. Golden State’s 0.559 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.485. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Kings are involved, as 16 of their 25 games have gone under the projected point total. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 11-14 straight up (SU) and 15-10 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Warriors games have also finished under the total. Further, Golden State owns records of 5-22 SU and 12-15 ATS.
The Kings’ Hield has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 24 points,5.8 rebounds,4.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Alec Burks has averaged 16 points,3.6 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Warriors.
Points at the line might be few and far between for Sacramento in this meeting. The Kings currently rank 29th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.164, while Golden State ranks eighth in FTA rate allowed (0.180).
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 21st in blocks per game (4.5) while the Warriors rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while Golden State ranks 20th (13.8).
- The Warriors average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Kings rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Sacramento ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Golden State ranks 16th (45.9).
- Golden State is 25th in the NBA with 44.2 points in the paint per game while Sacramento is 29th with 41.4 points in the paint per game.
- The Kings rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (35.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (28.5).
- The Kings average 12.8 second chance points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Warriors rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Sacramento ranks 20th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while Golden State ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
- Sacramento ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while Golden State ranks 26th (25.7).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 5-2 and Golden State is 3-1.
- The Kings are 10-8 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 5-14.
- Sacramento is 10-4 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 4-7 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Warriors’ 11 home games, while 9 of the Kings’ 14 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Golden State have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has lost by an average of 3.0 points.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (3.8 below their season average).
