Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio Bobcats Free Prediction 12/17/19

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Ohio Bobcats (7-3), who will be 9.5-point underdogs when they clash with the Purdue Boilermakers (6-4) at Convocation Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 126 points and it will air on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 17, 2019.

Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio Bobcats ATS Odds

In the Bobcats’ last game, they dismantled the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, 81-54, easily covering as 12-point favorites. The Boilermakers, meanwhile, were defeated by the Nebraska Cornhuskers, 70-56, and were unable to cover as 13-point underdogs. The Ohio game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 126.5, while the Purdue game went 11 points under the projected point total of 137.

Ohio played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 34.2 (above their season average of 28.1) and a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 17.9). For those same stats, Tennessee Tech was 16.7 and 20.3, respectively. Purdue, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 18.9). Ohio was lifted by Ben Vander Plas, who recorded 21 points and 11 rebounds. Trevion Williams, meanwhile played a key role for Purdue with 18 points and 16 rebounds.

The Boilermakers won the sole contest between these two teams last year, 95-67. Purdue’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Ohio. The Boilermakers had a rate of 0.683 while the Bobcats posted a mark of 0.491. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Oddsmakers tend to place the total high when the Boilermakers are involved, as eight of their 10 contests have gone under the total. Purdue holds records of 6-4 straight up (SU) and 5-5 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Bobcats’ eight games with betting action, four have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Ohio is 7-3 SU and 4-4 ATS.

This battle pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Ohio currently ranks 32nd in effective field goal percentage (0.554) and Purdue is 30th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.439).

Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio Bobcats Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Purdue ranks 35th in rebounds per game (39.7) while Ohio ranks 155th (35.2).
  • The Boilermakers rank 104th in three pointers attempted per game (23.7) while the Bobcats rank 155th in three pointers allowed per game (22.7).
  • Purdue ranks 39th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while Ohio ranks 78th (6.1).
  • The Bobcats average 16.6 assists per game, which ranks 20th in the NCAA. The Boilermakers rank 76th in assists allowed per game (11.7).
  • Ohio ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while Purdue ranks 71st (3.1).
  • Ohio is 1-1 ATS at home, while Purdue is 1-3 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the Boilermakers’ 4 road games, while 2 of the Bobcats’ 2 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bobcats are 2-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Boilermakers are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Ohio has 3 overs and 1 under, while Purdue has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 80.6 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 65.8 points per game (matching their season average).
  • The Boilermakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 11.3 for the season.