Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 02/12/20

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The Portland Trail Blazers (25-30) will travel to FedExForum to clash with the Memphis Grizzlies (27-26). The Grizzlies opened as 4.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020.

Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

The last time the Grizzlies played, they covered the 3-point spread against the Washington Wizards, 106-99. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, were blown out by the New Orleans Pelicans, 138-117, and were not able to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Memphis game finished 36 points under the projected point total of 241, while the Portland game went 29.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.

The Grizzlies held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.5 (below their season average of 22.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.385 (below their season average of 0.530). Portland, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 10.9). Memphis was lifted by Ja Morant, who accumulated 27 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. This gave him his zeroth triple-double this season. Hassan Whiteside, meanwhile fueled Portland with 17 points and 14 rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their four games last season. In the last game, the Trail Blazers won 116-89. Portland out-rebounded Memphis. The Trail Blazers had 14 offensive rebounds and 54 total rebounds, while the Grizzlies had four and 32, respectively. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Trail Blazers’ 54 games with betting action, 29 have finished over the projected point total. Portland heads into the game with records of 25-30 straight up (SU) and 23-29-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Grizzlies games, with 27 overs compared to 26 unders. Further, Memphis is 27-26 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.

Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies average 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (15.7).
  • Memphis ranks first in assists per game (27.4) while Portland ranks 29th (20.0).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
  • Portland averages 6.3 blocks per game, which ranks third in the league. Memphis ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Memphis ranks 12th in steals per game (8.0) while Portland ranks 29th (5.9).
  • The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (56.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (44.2).
  • The Grizzlies average 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
  • Portland ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (34.1) while Memphis ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
  • Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Memphis ranks 27th (18.3).
  • Portland and Memphis are both 4-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Trail Blazers are 25-23 and the Grizzlies are 26-20.
  • Portland is 12-15-1 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 16-12 ATS at home.
  • The Trail Blazers have 14 unders, 13 overs and 1 push in 28 road games.
  • The Grizzlies have 14 overs and 14 unders in 28 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Portland has 4 overs and 1 under, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (0.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.6 points per game (6.3 above their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 1.6 for the season.