Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction

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The league’s top scoring team will be 6-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (12-4) clash against the Portland Trail Blazers (12-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.

Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Bucks (5.5-point favorites) defeated the Denver Nuggets 104-98, while the Trail Blazers (1-point underdog) beat the New York Knicks 118-114. The Milwaukee game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 224.5, while the Portland game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.

The Trail Blazers forced 15 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 26.2). The Bucks, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.148 vs. 0.064) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 23.2). Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who contributed 29 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. Damian Lillard played a key role for Portland with 29 points, eight assists and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, CJ McCollum led the Trail Blazers to a 118-103 victory. He scored a game-high 40 points. The two teams combined for 221 points, which was under the projected point total of 228.5, and Portland covered as a 2-point underdog. Portland’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Milwaukee, who had a mark of 0.522.

Games featuring the Trail Blazers have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Portland holds records of 12-5 straight up (SU) and 11-5 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Bucks’ 16 games, 12 have finished over the total. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS.

The Trail Blazers’ Jusuf Nurkic has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 16 points,13.0 rebounds,1.8 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Eric Bledsoe has averaged 19 points,5.4 rebounds,5.4 assists,2.2 steals during that same time frame for the Bucks.

This contest figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NBA’s top offenses battle. Milwaukee ranks second with 113.5 points per 100 possessions and Portland is fourth (111.5). Additionally, the Trail Blazers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.4 percent), while the Bucks rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.7 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks average 51.3125 rebounds per game, which ranks 1 in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 13 in rebounds allowed per game (44.294117647058826).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in assists per game (26.6) while Portland ranks 27th (20.9).
  • The Bucks rank ninth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (10.6).
  • Portland averages 32.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (37.1).
  • Milwaukee ranks 3 in points in the paint per game (55.375) while Portland ranks 18 (45.411764705882355).
  • The Bucks rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while the Trail Blazers rank last (13.8).
  • The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.625) while the Trail Blazers rank 18 (13.529411764705882).
  • Milwaukee ranks 22 in steals per game (6.875) while Portland ranks 27 (6).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while Portland ranks 23rd (4.6).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Milwaukee is 3-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Trail Blazers and Bucks are both 12-4.
  • Portland is 4-3 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Bucks’ 9 home games, while 4 of the Trail Blazers’ 7 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Milwaukee are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Trail Blazers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Bucks have 4 overs and 1 under,
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (5.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 11.1 for the season.