The San Francisco Giants will play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Oracle Park. The game gets going at 9:45 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on either ATPT or NSBA.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Odds
San Francisco (receiving -125 odds) is favored against Pittsburgh and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +160 for the Giants -1.5.
The Pirates have gone 63-81 SU this year and are 69-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 21.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 69-75 SU and 74-69 ATS. They’ve gained 11.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 12.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
San Francisco games have an over/under record of 69-66-8 in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a solid over bet with a total record of 81-55-7.
Mitch Keller will get the start for the Bucs. The right-handed Keller (1-3, 8.18 ERA) has racked up 44 strikeouts in 33 innings so far. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Giants are giving Johnny Cueto a chance to show what he’s got. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the right-handed Cueto.
San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.81 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The San Francisco offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .193/.282/.242 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Giants’ offense has been led by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is hitting .266/.294/.462 with 21 home runs, 79 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and Belt is batting .231 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs and 70 runs.
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.24 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 9.93.
The Pirates offense has slashed .267/.327/.429 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Reynolds (.328/.391/.529) has produced 16 homers, 66 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Pirates have lost 1.9 units and are 53-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 57 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 11.6 units and are 56-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under.
Pirates at Giants Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit eight over their last 10.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .756 this season and an OPS of .777 against right-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS sits at .705 overall and .695 against righties.
- San Francisco has posted 16.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.4 over its last five.
