The Pittsburgh Pirates will pay a visit to Flushing to play the Mets at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Odds
Pittsburgh (-115) is the favorite over New York (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. The games runline odds sit at +130 for taking the Pirates -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5 runs.
The Pirates have gone 36-41 SU this year and are 33-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.6 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 31-44 SU and 31-42 ATS. They’ve lost 14.3 units for moneyline bettors and 16.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 31-40-2 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 36-34-6.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. Taillon is 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to righty Seth Lugo (2-2, 2.85 ERA), who’s got 59 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.04. Lugo did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.46.
Pirates hitters have slashed .248/.321/.401 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .299/.335/.447 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Marte is hitting .273 with nine homers, 34 RBIs, 38 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.360/.453 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .274/.315/.476 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .245/.271/.361 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs.
The Pirates have lost 2.3 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.7 units and are 21-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Pittsburgh has logged five extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have lost six of their last seven games SU.
- New York has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
