The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to their Pennsylvania nemesis Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on either ATPT or NSPA.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-135) is favored over Pittsburgh (+125) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Pirates +1.5 runs (-170) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+150).
The Pirates are 56-76 SU and are 63-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors and 21.1 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 68-63 SU and 60-70 ATS. The team’s lost 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.7 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have a 62-64-4 over/under record in 2019. The Pirates have been a strong over bet with a total record of 74-51-6.
Mitch Keller will get the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Keller (1-2, 7.24 ERA) has recorded 33 strikeouts in 27.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies will turn to righty Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.93 ERA), who’s got 98 strikeouts and 35 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Velasquez did not re a start against the Pirates in 2018.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.62, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.368/.481 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Cesar Hernandez has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with eight home runs, 54 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a K/9 of 9.81.
The Pirates offense has slashed .264/.324/.423 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Starling Marte has sparked Pittsburgh’s offense and is slashing .290/.333/.500 with 22 home runs, 76 RBIs, 87 runs and 24 steals.
The Pirates are looking for another win after a 5-4 victory in the prior game of this series.
Pirates at Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .767 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .746 overall and .738 against righties.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.0 over its last five.
- The Pirates have won four of their last five games SU.
