The Philadelphia Phillies are facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. The game will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on ATPT and NSPA.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Pittsburgh (receiving +110) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -190 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 68-62 straight up (SU) and 60-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates are 55-76 SU and have gone 62-68 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have a 61-64-4 over/under record in 2019. The Pirates have been a great over bet with a total record of 73-51-6.
Steven Brault will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The southpaw Brault (3-3, 3.98 ERA) has racked up 74 strikeouts in 83.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 2.25 ERA and six strikeouts over eight innings).
The Phillies are handing the ball to lefty Drew Smyly (2-6, 6.99 ERA), who has 86 strikeouts and 46 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.69. Smyly is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.61, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.61 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .249/.370/.463 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Segura is hitting .286/.334/.432 with 11 home runs, 52 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .281 with eight homers, 54 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.85, along with a K/9 of 9.84.
The Pirates offense has slashed .263/.323/.422 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been powered by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell, who have already combined to drive in 180 runs. Marte is slashing .289/.333/.497 with 22 home runs, 76 RBIs, 87 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Bell is slashing .274/.361/.577 with 33 homers, 104 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
The Pirates have lost 7.7 units and are 14-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 6.8 units and are 14-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve cashed the under.
Pirates vs. Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Pittsburgh has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 22 XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .634 against left-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .746 overall and .769 against southpaws.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
