Josh Bell and the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking the field against the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday night game. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the action.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Odds
Sportsbooks have New York (-130) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+120). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -115 or the under for -105. This game currently has a runline of Pirates +1.5 (-175) and Mets -1.5 (+155).
The Mets are 48-55 straight up (SU) and 50-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 9.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Pirates are 46-57 SU and have gone 52-50 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 55-39-8 in 2019. Pittsburgh has also been a solid over bet with a total record of 57-40-5.
The right-handed Trevor Williams is getting the nod for the visiting Pirates. Williams is 3-3 with a 4.96 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).
The Mets are turning to lefty Steven Matz (5-6, 4.75 ERA), who has 86 punchouts and 31 walks as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Matz made two starts against the Pirates in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.85 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.06 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.88, along with a K/9 of 9.48.
The Pirates offense has slashed .268/.326/.427 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte have paced Pittsburgh’s hitters. Bell is hitting .290/.371/.603 with 27 home runs, 86 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Marte (.284/.325/.499) has produced 17 homers, 60 RBIs, 67 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 4.23 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.24 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .212/.301/.424 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .340/.400/.513 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .271/.312/.442 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs, 48 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Pirates have lost 4.1 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 14.6 units and are 34-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve gone under.
Pirates at Mets Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Both teams have tallied 16 extra-base hits over their last five contests.
- The Pirates have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .752 this season, including an OPS of .635 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .757 overall and .796 against lefties.
