The New York Mets are gunning for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field. Pix11 will broadcast this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Odds
New York (-130) is favored over Pittsburgh (+120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Pirates +1.5 runs (-175) and Mets -1.5 runs (+155).
The Mets are 49-55 straight up (SU) and 51-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates are 46-58 SU and have gone 52-51 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 55-39-9 in 2019. Pittsburgh has also been a solid over bet with a total record of 57-40-6.
Chris Archer is getting the start for the Bucs. The right-handed Archer is 3-7 with a 5.40 ERA and 112 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are putting the ball in the left hand of Jason Vargas (5-5, 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who’s got 76 strikeouts and 36 walks this season. Vargas only made one start against the Pirates in 2018 (0-0, 6.23 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.1 innings).
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.17, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.24 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The New York offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.306/.448 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .336/.396/.507 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .270 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs, 48 runs and 11 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.04 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.87, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
Pirates hitters have slashed .267/.324/.425 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been sparked by first baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte, who have combined to launch 44 home runs. Bell is slashing .287/.368/.597 with 27 home runs, 86 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Marte (.281/.321/.494) has produced 17 homers, 60 RBIs, 67 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Pirates have lost 4.1 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 13.6 units and are 35-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.
Pirates vs. Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven outings.
- The Pirates have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .626 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .756 overall and .796 against southpaws.
- New York has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
- The Pirates have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.
