The Miami Marlins are set to square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Marlins Park. This NL showdown starts at 6:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either ATPT or FSFL.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (-120) is favored against Pittsburgh (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -190 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +165 for the Marlins -1.5.
The Pirates have gone 31-38 SU this year and are 34-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 24-43 SU and 31-35 ATS. The team’s lost 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 30-33-3 thus far in 2019. Pirates games have gone over 40 times, gone under 26 times and pushed on two occasions.
Dario Agrazal will get the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Agrazal has yet to pitch in the majors this season and Pittsburgh is hoping that he fares okay against MLB hitters.
The Marlins will put the ball in the right hand of Pablo Lopez (4-5, 4.26 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), who has 69 punchouts and 17 walks. Lopez did not register a start against the Pirates in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .263/.309/.358 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Anderson is hitting .244/.330/.376 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Castro is hitting .230 with four homers, 27 RBIs and 19 runs.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.36, along with a K/9 of 9.64.
The Pirates offense has slashed .260/.319/.414 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .321/.389/.656 with 19 home runs, 63 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Marte (.289/.327/.474) is up to 10 homers, 34 RBIs, 41 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Pirates have lost 0.3 units and are 26-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 5.2 units and are 20-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 26 which went under the total.
Pirates at Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.
- The Pirates have a team OPS of .732 this season and an OPS of .751 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .645 overall and .647 versus righties.
- Miami has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
