The Pittsburgh Pirates are paying a visit to Great American Ball Park to take on their NL Central rival Cincinnati Reds. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on either ATPT or FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas is listing Pittsburgh (+160) as the dog to Cincinnati (-170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and +100 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -135 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +115 for the Reds -1.5.
The Reds are 58-44 against the spread (ATS), but just 48-55 straight up (SU). The team has lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 6.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates have gone 46-59 SU this year and are 52-52 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 11.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh’s covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 37-61-4 in 2019. The Pirates have been a great over bet with a total record of 57-41-6.
Jordan Lyles will get the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Lyles is 5-7 with a 5.25 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are handing the ball to righty Sonny Gray (5-6, 3.29 ERA), who has 127 punchouts and 38 walks, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Gray is 1-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.35 ERA across three starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 4.22 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 49 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .287/.350/.479 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and outfielder Yasiel Puig have led the Reds’ offense this year. Suarez is slashing .252/.330/.525 with 28 home runs, 69 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Puig’s line is .257/.306/.484 with 22 homers, 59 RBIs, 50 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K-per-9 of 9.48.
The Pirates offense has slashed .267/.325/.426 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been powered by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is hitting .283/.322/.492 with 17 home runs, 60 RBIs, 69 runs and 14 steals, while Bell (.287/.368/.597) has produced 27 homers, 86 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 0.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 6.2 units and are 43-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 47 which went under the total.
Pirates at Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .778 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .738 overall and .719 versus righties.
- The Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
