The NBA’s top scoring team will be 14.5-point favorites at home in ORACLE Arena, when the Golden State Warriors (55-21) square off against the Phoenix Suns (19-58). The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018.
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
In their last matchup, the Warriors were victorious over the Sacramento Kings, 112-96, while the Suns lost a winnable game to the Houston Rockets, 104-103.
Golden State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 13.8) and a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.197). For those same stats, Sacramento was 13.7 and 0.186, respectively. Phoenix, meanwhile, held Houston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.4 (below the 23.8 mark opponents have averaged against Phoenix this season). Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who contributed 27 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Tyler Ulis played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 16 points, 12 assists and six rebounds.
Golden State could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Warriors currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Phoenix ranks 30th in defensive efficiency.
Games including the Suns have gone under the projected point total 51.9 percent of the time. Phoenix holds records of 19-58 straight up (SU) and 34-41-2 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Phoenix, Warriors games have gone under the O/U total 50.7 percent of the time. Golden State has a phenomenal 55-21 SU record, but they are just 30-42-3 ATS.
The Suns Josh Jackson has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 18.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.0 steals per game. Meanwhile, Quinn Cook has averaged 18.2 points and 5.8 assists during that same time frame for the Warriors.
The Warriors have won both matchups against the Suns this season. The two teams combined to score 233 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 215. Golden State won 124-109, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Warriors 10.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Suns, who had a mark of 16.7. Despite the loss, Jackson was the game’s leading scorer with 36 points.
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 14th in points in the paint per game (44.2) while the Suns rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Phoenix ranks 28th (6.0).
- The Warriors average 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Suns rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
- Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (46.0).
- Golden State averages 8.1 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Phoenix ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.5) while the Suns rank 28th (21.0).
- The Suns rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.1) while the Warriors rank last in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.6) while Phoenix ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
- Golden State is 15-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 6-2.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Suns are 15-33 and the Warriors are 52-13.
- Phoenix is 21-17-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 15-22-2 ATS at home.
- Of the Suns 39 road games, they have 21 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.
- Of the Warriors 39 home games, they have 21 unders and 18 overs.
Betting Trends:
- The Suns are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Phoenix has 5 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Suns average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 9.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 99.4 points per game (14.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (5.4 below their season average).
