The Phoenix Suns (7-7) will travel to the Target Center to clash against the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-7). Action begins at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 23, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last game. The Suns (3.5-point favorites) were defeated by the New Orleans Pelicans, 124-121, while the Timberwolves (3-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 103-95. The Phoenix game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5, while the Minnesota game finished 25 points under the projected point total of 223.
Phoenix did a great job of getting and making free throws (28-32; 87.5 percent) while Minnesota had a better effective field goal percentage (0.472 vs. 0.488). Minnesota was lifted by Karl-Anthony Towns, who recorded 14 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Kelly Oubre Jr. played well for Phoenix, putting up 25 points and six rebounds.
The Timberwolves captured this series last year, securing victories in two out of three games. In the most recent game, Minnesota won 118-91. Minnesota’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Timberwolves had more offensive rebounds (20 vs. 5), defensive rebounds (44 vs. 29) and total rebounds (64 vs. 34). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Of the Suns’ 14 games, eight have finished over the O/U total. Phoenix holds records of 7-7 straight up (SU) and 9-5 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Timberwolves also tend to go over the total (60.0 percent). Additionally, Minnesota is 8-7 SU and 7-7-1 ATS.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Minnesota. Minnesota ranks 15th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.3 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (16.5 percent).
Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves rank sixth in points in the paint per game (50.9) while the Suns rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
- Phoenix ranks fourth in fast break points per game (15.6) while Minnesota ranks 28th (10.3).
- The Suns rank second in points off turnovers per game (21.5) while the Timberwolves rank 20th (16.9).
- Minnesota ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.9) while Phoenix ranks 25th (10.6).
- Minnesota averages 9.1 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Phoenix ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- The Timberwolves rank second in blocks per game (6.5) while the Suns rank 24th (4.0).
- The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.9) while the Timberwolves rank 18th (23.1).
- Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.7) while Phoenix ranks 10th (35.0).
- Minnesota ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Phoenix ranks 25th (41.9).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Minnesota is 1-0 and Phoenix is 1-2.
- The Suns are 7-5 when they score over 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 8-4.
- Minnesota is 2-5-1 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Timberwolves’ 8 home games, while 3 of the Suns’ 4 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Timberwolves are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Minnesota has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Phoenix has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.2 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
- The Suns have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has defeated opponents by an average of 4.1 points.
