The league’s top scoring team will be at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (41-7) face off with the Phoenix Suns (20-28). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 2, 2020.
Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last contest. The Suns (7-point favorites) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 111-107, while the Bucks (11.5-point favorites) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 127-115. The Phoenix game finished 10.5 points under the projected point total of 228.5, while the Milwaukee game finished 1 point over the projected point total of 241.
Phoenix did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-29; 89.7 percent) while Milwaukee had a better free throw rate (0.179 vs. 0.090). Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good outing for Milwaukee, contributing 31 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists. Kelly Oubre Jr. fueled Phoenix with 27 points and 11 rebounds.
The Suns dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent matchup, Phoenix won 114-105. Phoenix made good use of their 31 trips to the free throw line, converting on 25 of them (80.6 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, was 23-31 (74.2 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their upper-echelon offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Bucks rank first in effective field goal percentage (0.560), while Phoenix ranks 22nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.537). Furthermore, put-back points figure to be few and far between for the Suns. They rank 23rd in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 21.7 percent, while the Bucks are the best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 81.3 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Suns rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.6) while the Bucks rank 12th (17.0).
- Phoenix ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.0).
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.5) while the Suns rank 21st (43.6).
- Phoenix ranks second in assists per game (27.1) while Milwaukee ranks 13th in assists allowed per game (23.9).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (18.8) while Phoenix ranks 10th (14.2).
- The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.3) while the Suns rank 28th (3.9).
- The Bucks rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while the Suns rank 10th (12.3).
- Milwaukee averages 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.3) while Phoenix ranks 23rd (49.8).
- When allowing below 100 points, Milwaukee is 11-0 and Phoenix is 6-2.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Suns are 19-23 and the Bucks are 41-7.
- Phoenix is 14-8 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 13-11 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 12 of the Bucks’ 24 home games, while 12 of the Suns’ 22 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Phoenix and Milwaukee are both 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 0.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 122.0 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (3.6 above their season average).
