Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction 01/26/20

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The Phoenix Suns (19-26) will travel to FedExForum to clash with the Memphis Grizzlies (21-24). The Grizzlies opened as 2.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 236 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 26, 2020.

Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Grizzlies (2-point favorites) defeated the Detroit Pistons 125-112, while the Suns (4.5-point underdog) beat the San Antonio Spurs 103-99. The Memphis game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 231.5, while the Phoenix game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 225.

The Suns held the Spurs to an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.530) and had a better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 13.1). The Grizzlies, meanwhile, knocked down 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.614 (above their season average of 0.534). Memphis received a boost from Jaren Jackson Jr., who contributed 29 points and six rebounds. Devin Booker, meanwhile played a key role for Phoenix with 35 points and 10 assists.

The Grizzlies lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 235 points, just under the projected point total of 236. Memphis won 121-114, covering as a 7-point underdog. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (18-42; 42.9 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.5 vs. 8.1). Booker scored a game-high 40 points.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 24 overs compared to 21 unders. Phoenix holds records of 19-26 straight up (SU) and 23-21-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Grizzlies also have gone over the projected point total 51.1 percent of the time. Further, Memphis owns records of 21-24 SU and 23-21-1 ATS.

The elite offense of Memphis will square off against the mid-tier defense of Phoenix. The Grizzlies currently rank eighth in effective field goal percentage (0.535), while the Suns are 25th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.539). The Grizzlies figure to have the edge on that end of the court. Additionally, the Suns are among the league’s elite at getting to the line, ranking fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.221). The Grizzlies, meanhwile, rank 27th at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.224.

Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Phoenix averages 18.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).
  • The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.2) while the Grizzlies rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.9).
  • Phoenix ranks eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while Memphis ranks 27th (14.4).
  • Memphis ranks 12th in steals per game (7.9) while Phoenix ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • The Grizzlies rank ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Suns rank 29th (3.8).
  • The Suns rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (14.7).
  • Memphis averages 55.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Phoenix is 6-2 and Memphis is 1-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 21-18 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 18-21.
  • Memphis is 13-12 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 13-7 ATS on the road.
  • In 20 road games, the Suns have 11 unders and 9 overs.
  • In 25 home games, the Grizzlies have 14 overs and 11 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Suns are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Phoenix has lost by an average of 1.0 point.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.2 points per game (0.8 below their season average).