Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction 02/10/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Phoenix Suns (21-32), 11.5-point underdogs, will be at the Staples Center to clash against the Los Angeles Lakers (39-12) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Lakers (14-point favorites) beat the Golden State Warriors, 125-120, while the Suns (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 117-108. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game went 20.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Phoenix game finished 7 points over the projected point total of 218.

Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.305 (above their season average of 0.195) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.4 (above their season average of 24.8). Golden State was 0.169 and 18.6, respectively, for those same stats. Phoenix, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (23-23; 100.0 percent). Los Angeles was lifted by Anthony Davis, who recorded 27 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Deandre Ayton played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 28 points and 19 rebounds.

The Lakers have won both matchups against the Suns this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 224 points, just under the projected point total of 225.5. Los Angeles won 117-107 but was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite. One of Los Angeles’ largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 34 free throw attempts, while Phoenix had 23. LeBron James played a huge role in the victory, recording a triple-double with 31 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Suns games, with 28 overs compared to 25 unders. Phoenix heads into the contest with records of 21-32 straight up (SU) and 25-27-1 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Phoenix, a little over half of Lakers games have finished over the O/U total. Further, Los Angeles owns records of 39-12 SU and 26-24-1 ATS.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Los Angeles figures to have a noteworthy advantage. The sweet-shooting Lakers offense ranks second in the league in that metric at 0.550, while the porous Phoenix defense is ranked 21st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.538).

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.8) while the Lakers rank 13th (33.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (6.9) while Phoenix ranks 26th (4.1).
  • The Suns rank 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while the Lakers rank 29th (16.2).
  • Los Angeles averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Phoenix ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists per game (26.2) while Phoenix ranks 13th in assists allowed per game (23.9).
  • The Lakers average 53.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Suns rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.0).
  • The Lakers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Suns rank 10th (43.9).
  • Phoenix ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Los Angeles ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in second chance points per game (14.9) while Phoenix ranks 23rd (12.2).
  • Phoenix is 7-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Los Angeles is 15-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Lakers are 35-11 and the Suns are 20-26.
  • Los Angeles is 12-11-1 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 14-11 ATS on the road.
  • The Suns have 13 unders and 12 overs in 25 road games.
  • The Lakers have 13 unders and 11 overs in 24 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 122.6 points per game (8.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.6 points per game (9.3 above their season average).
  • The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 0.9 for the season.