The NBA’s top scoring team will be a 17-point favorite at home in ORACLE Arena, when the Golden State Warriors (45-20) face off with the Phoenix Suns (15-52). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 234.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
The Warriors defeated the Denver Nuggets in their last game, 122-105, comfortably covering as 7-point favorites. The Suns, on the other hand, were topped by the Portland Trail Blazers, 127-120, and were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 7.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5, while the Phoenix game finished 20.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5.
Golden State’s 0.643 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Denver, who had a rate of 0.448. The Warriors’ mark was above their season average of 0.560, while the Nuggets’ was below their season average of 0.530. Phoenix, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 13.6). Klay Thompson put together a good game for Golden State with 39 points. Deandre Ayton had a solid performance for Phoenix, contributing 21 points and eight rebounds.
The Warriors have won all three contests against the Suns this season. The two teams combined to put up 224 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 229.5. Golden State won 117-107 but was unable to cover as a 17-point favorite. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.568 vs. 0.416). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 15.7). Oubre Jr. finished with 25 points and 12 rebounds.
Of the Suns’ 66 games that accepted bets, 37 have finished under the total. Phoenix holds records of 15-52 straight up (SU) and 29-37 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Phoenix, a little over half of Warriors games have finished over the projected point total. Golden State has a respectable 45-20 SU record, but they are just 26-38-1 ATS.
The high-powered offense of Golden State (first in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 114.7) will square off against the porous defense of Phoenix (29th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 112.1). The Warriors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Suns at Warriors ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Suns rank 27th (9.0).
- Golden State ranks second in fast break points per game (19.7) while Phoenix ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- The Warriors rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.2) while the Suns rank last (40.2).
- Golden State ranks 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.8) while Phoenix ranks last (52.7).
- Golden State ranks 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
- The Warriors average 29.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Suns rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.8).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.5) while the Suns rank 18th (5.1).
- Golden State ranks 20th in second chance points per game (12.5) while Phoenix ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
- Phoenix ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while Golden State ranks 27th (33.6).
- Golden State is 6-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Phoenix is 5-1.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 45-13 and the Suns are 14-34.
- Phoenix is 13-20 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 12-20-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 17 of the Suns’ 33 road games, while 19 of the Warriors’ 33 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Suns are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has been defeated by an average of 9.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (6.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
