The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds in a Thursday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will be showing this NL matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-160) is favored over Philadelphia (+150) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -145 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +125 for the Reds -1.5.
The Reds are 76-63 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 65-75 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.5 units ATS. The Phillies have gone 72-66 SU this year and are 64-73 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.4 units ATS.
Reds games have a 53-79-7 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 64-69-4.
Left-hander Jason Vargas is projected to start for Philadelphia. Vargas is 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and 98 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Sonny Gray (10-6, 2.80 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), who’s got 174 strikeouts and 60 walks this season. Gray is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .213/.292/.400 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jose Iglesias and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Iglesias is slashing .294/.322/.416 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Suarez’s line sits at .261/.342/.546 with 40 homers, 87 RBIs and 77 runs.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.63, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K/9 of 8.89.
Phillies hitters have slashed .248/.326/.428 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .282/.333/.394 with eight home runs, 58 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .286/.333/.434 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 5.5 units and are 50-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 3.1 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.
Phillies vs. Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .754 this season and an OPS of .742 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .746 overall and .733 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
