The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against their division rival Atlanta Braves in a Thursday night game. The matchup will be televised across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 7:20 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-160) is hosting this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+150) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. The game’s runline odds sit at -145 for taking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +125 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 51-36 straight up (SU) and 41-45 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.0 units ATS. The Phillies have gone 45-41 SU this year and are 41-44 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 3.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 47-34-5 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 40-41-4.
Zach Eflin is getting the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 7-7 with a 3.34 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Braves are turning to righty Mike Soroka (9-1, 2.13 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a WHIP of 0.98. Soroka did not record a start against the Phillies in 2018.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 32 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.
The Atlanta hitters have produced 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .264/.316/.454 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have paced the Braves’ hitters this year. Freeman is slashing .308/.393/.581 with 22 home runs, 65 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Acuna Jr.’s line sits at .292/.373/.506 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.82, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
Phillies hitters have slashed .243/.324/.420 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have paced Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is hitting .280/.334/.421 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Segura is hitting .272/.317/.449 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 1.6 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 3.8 units and are 32-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under.
Phillies vs. Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .744 this season and an OPS of .730 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .798 overall and .792 against righties.
- Atlanta has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 17 home runs over its last 10 games.
