The Washington Nationals will welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Nationals Park in Game 1 of a divisional doubleheader. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds
The Nationals are 86-69 straight up (SU) and 85-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 11.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 79-76 SU and have gone 74-80 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 4.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.2 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Nationals games have a 72-74-8 over/under record in 2019. Phillies games have gone under 77 times, gone over 73 times and pushed on four instances.
Right-hander Blake Parker is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Parker is 3-2 with a 4.40 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Joe Ross (3-4, 6.17 ERA), who has 45 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a 1.74 WHIP. Ross is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 19.29 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.58 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
The Phillies offense has slashed .246/.322/.427 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .281/.334/.401 with 12 home runs, 69 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Segura (.279/.323/.423) is up to 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.51 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.87 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 72 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.45.
Washington’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .271/.368/.401 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is slashing .325/.412/.608 with 34 home runs, 122 RBIs and 114 runs scored, and Eaton’s line sits at .283/.367/.435 with 15 homers, 48 RBIs, 99 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 4.9 units and are 57-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve hit the under against righties.
Phillies vs. Nationals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Nationals have won three of their last four.
- Philadelphia has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .736 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .794 overall and .782 against righties.
