The Philadelphia Phillies are paying a visit to Flushing to face their NL East rival Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-160) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+150). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +105 or the under for -125. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -145 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +125 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 71-68 straight up (SU) and 72-67 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 7.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 72-67 SU this year and are 64-74 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 71-56-12 in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 65-69-4.
Zach Eflin will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 8-11 with a 4.33 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.63 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets are putting the ball in the left hand of Steven Matz (9-8, 4.04 ERA), who has 128 punchouts and 39 walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Matz is 2-2 with 13 strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA across four starts against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.20 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 66 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.96.
New York’s hitters have produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .289/.363/.506 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil have paced the Mets’ offense this year. Rosario is slashing .286/.323/.429 with 12 home runs, 59 RBIs, 67 runs and 16 stolen bases, while McNeil’s line sits at .324/.390/.527 with 18 homers, 64 RBIs and 71 runs.
For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.62, along with a K-per-9 of 8.84.
The Phillies offense has slashed .248/.325/.427 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been fueled by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .280/.333/.392 with eight home runs, 58 RBIs and 64 runs scored. Segura is slashing .283/.330/.430 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 9.2 units and are 14-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.9 units and are 54-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 39 that went under the total.
Phillies vs. Mets Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has logged 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .752 this season, including an OPS of .783 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .768 overall and .801 against lefties.
- New York has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.4 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
