Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies are set to take the field against their NL East rival New York Mets at Citi Field in a Sunday showdown. Pix11 will showcase the action and the game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
Las Vegas has New York (-110) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+100). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 9 runs, then bookmakers are offering -125 odds to play the under. Picking the over return +105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-210) and Mets -1.5 (+175).
The Phillies are 46-43 SU and are 42-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.0 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 40-49 SU and 41-47 ATS. They’ve lost 18.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
New York games have a 48-32-8 over/under record so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 42-42-4.
Right-hander Aaron Nola will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Nola is 7-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 118 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 4.09 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (6-5, 4.42 ERA), who has 123 strikeouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Wheeler is 1-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA across three starts against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.77, along with a K-per-9 of 9.17.
The Phillies offense has slashed .245/.326/.421 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Hernandez is slashing .283/.337/.419 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Segura (.276/.321/.448) has produced 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.65 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 43 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.84.
The New York offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .298/.344/.423 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have paced the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .356/.415/.518 with seven home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Alonso’s line is .280/.374/.629 with 29 homers, 66 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 1.4 units and are 31-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 17.7 units and are 29-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.
Phillies vs. Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- Philadelphia has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .735 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .760 overall and .742 versus righties.
