The Philadelphia Phillies are making a road trip to Flushing to face off against their division rival Mets at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have listed New York (+100) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over eight runs and -115 for under eight. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Mets +1.5 runs (-155).
The Phillies are 12-9 SU and have gone 10-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 0.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 11-10 SU and 12-8 ATS. They’ve gained 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 14-4-2 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 12-8.
Right-hander Jake Arrieta is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (1-1, 4.96 ERA) to the hill. Matz has 19 strikeouts and six walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Matz has yet to face the Phillies this year, but he made four starts against them in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 3.71 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff has yielded 6.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.64 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.69 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 16 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 5.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.52.
New York’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .234/.312/.419 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is slashing .371/.443/.471 with 26 hits, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Alonso’s line is .325/.416/.727 with eight homers, 19 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.73 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.47.
Phillies hitters have slashed .257/.352/.439 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Bryce Harper and Andrew McCutchen. Harper is slashing .278/.418/.544 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while McCutchen (.275/.408/.513) is up to four homers, nine RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 1.6 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.6 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Phillies at Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .806 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .779 overall and .894 against lefties.
- The Mets have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- New York has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
