In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) are set to face off against their NFC East rival New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.
Week 17 Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
New York is the home underdog in this NFC game and is currently getting 4.5 points. The Eagles are also receiving -180 moneyline odds while the Giants are +160. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points. If the favorite gets down early, it’ll probably generate a worthy betting scenario in-game.
This matchup’s betting odds have moved slightly from where they initially opened. The opening line was 5 and the game’s total was placed originally at 45.
The Eagles are 6-9 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 3.1 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 7-8.
The Giants have lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 9-6.
The Eagles are 8-7 straight up (SU), including 4-1 SU against NFC East opponents. The Giants are 4-11 SU overall and 2-3 SU against divisional foes.
The Eagles are coming off a 17-9 victory over Dallas in Week 16 where Carson Wentz completed 31 passes on 40 attempts for 319 yards and one touchdown. Miles Sanders (79 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Dallas Goedert (nine receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Boston Scott (six catches, seven yards) shared the receiving duties.
New York is coming off of a 41-35 win over Washington in Week 16. The defensive secondary allowed the Redskins to air it out for 302 yards and three touchdowns. Terry McLaurin had a good outing in the defeat for Washington, posting 86 yards on seven catches. For New York, Daniel Jones completed 28-of-42 passes for 352 yards and five touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (189 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win while Kaden Smith (six receptions, 35 yards, two TDs) and Golden Tate (six catches, 96 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Philadelphia’s run the ball on 42.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 37.8 percent. The Eagles have rushed for 121.2 yards/game (including 126.2 per game versus East opponents) and have 13 scores via handoffs this year. The G-Men are totaling 104.2 rushing yards per game (138.8 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the G-Men might have an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.6 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Eagles have registered 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Eagles offense has tallied 251.6 yards/game in the air overall (282.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 26 passing scores so far. The G-Men have produced 251.3 pass yards per outing (263 against NFC competition) and have 29 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Philadelphia should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 88 yards and pass for 255.7 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 278.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.7 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.50 to opponents, while the G-Men have given up a 7.4 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Wentz is up to 3,484 yards this year, and has completed 335-of-524 attempts with 23 passing scores and only seven interceptions. He’s got a 6.12 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.57 over the last two games.
Look for a balanced approach offensively from Philadelphia in this one. Miles Sanders, Dallas Goedert and Greg Ward have collectively accounted for 611 total yards and five touchdowns over the last two outings.
Daniel Jones has completed 256-of-412 passes for 2,726 yards, 23 TDs and 11 INTs for New York. His ANY/A stands at 5.43 for the season and 10.37 across his past two games.
Saquon Barkley (799 rushing yards, three rush TDs, 382 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Sterling Shepard (426 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Golden Tate (557 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) have combined to account for 756 total yards and six touchdowns the last couple of games.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Free NFL Pick
SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Philadelphia defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 39 times this year. New York has recorded 35 sacks.
- Both offenses have lost 15 fumbles this season.
- The Eagles offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Giants have accounted for 11 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed 14 pass plays of 40 or more yards and 23 pass plays of 30+ yards.
- The Philadelphia offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New York has created 11 such runs.
- The Eagles defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Giants have given up 11 such runs.
- The Over/Under for New York’s last outing was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the 41-35 victory over Washington.
- In its last three contests, New York is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matchups, Philadelphia is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Philadelphia’s previous game was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 17-9 victory over Dallas.
- Philadelphia, as a team, has averaged 4.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 4.7 over its last two.
- New York has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.8 over its last two.
