The league’s top scoring team will be 9-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (43-7) challenge the Philadelphia 76ers (31-20). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 6, 2020.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
The Bucks beat the New Orleans Pelicans in their last matchup, 120-108, covering as 5-point favorites. The 76ers, meanwhile, were thoroughly outplayed by the Miami Heat, 137-106, and were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 24 points under the projected point total of 252, while the Philadelphia game went 32 points over the projected point total of 211.
The Bucks held the Pelicans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.535) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.1 (below their season average of 23.9). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.6 (above their season average of 23.3). Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 34 points, 17 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Joel Embiid had a good outing for Philadelphia, finishing with 29 points and 12 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Embiid led the 76ers to a 121-109 win. He notched a double-double with 31 points and 11 rebounds. Philadelphia covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 230 points, which was over the projected point total of 221. One of Philadelphia’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 12-15 (80.0 percent), while the Bucks were just 6-8 (75.0 percent).
Of the 76ers’ 51 games, 26 have finished over the projected point total. Philadelphia has a respectable 31-20 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 22-26-3 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Bucks have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 43-7 SU and 28-22 ATS.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Milwaukee (second in the league with an offensive efficiency of 112.5) takes on the elite defense of Philadelphia (fifth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 104.7).
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Bucks rank second (11.5).
- Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.8).
- The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (51.4) while the 76ers rank 18th (47.5).
- Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.1) while Milwaukee ranks 12th (23.8).
- Philadelphia ranks eighth in steals per game (8.2) while Milwaukee ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
- The Bucks average 19.3 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The 76ers rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
- The 76ers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Bucks rank ninth (4.6).
- Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while Milwaukee ranks 19th (45.9).
- Philadelphia is 14-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 11-0.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Bucks are 43-7 and the 76ers are 27-9.
- Philadelphia is 9-17-1 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 14-12 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Bucks’ 26 home games, while 14 of the 76ers’ 27 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Philadelphia has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, down from 12.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (8.9 above their season average).
