The Philadelphia 76ers (23-11), 1-point underdogs, will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to meet the Miami Heat (23-8). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Heat (4.5-point favorites) beat the Indiana Pacers, 113-112, while the 76ers (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Orlando Magic, 98-97. The Miami game went 11 points over the projected point total of 214, while the Philadelphia game went 26 points under the projected point total of 221.
The Heat, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.0, had a superb mark of 30.4, while the Pacers had a free throw rate of 0.111 (below their season average of 0.162). Philadelphia, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (17-21; 81.0 percent). Miami’s Bam Adebayo had a good game, finishing with 18 points, 15 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Tobias Harris played a key role for Philadelphia with 24 points and 11 rebounds.
The Heat had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 108-104 victory, to even the season series at one. Joel Embiid had a double-double in the loss with 22 points and 19 rebounds. Miami’s 0.541 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Philadelphia, who had a mark of 0.489. The two teams combined for 212 points, which was over the projected point total of 205, and Miami covered as a 9-point underdog.
Of the 76ers’ 33 games with betting action, 17 have finished over the projected point total. Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 23-11 straight up (SU) and 16-14-3 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Heat’s 30 games with betting action, 17 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Miami owns records of 23-8 SU and 18-10-2 ATS.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Miami figures to have a significant advantage. The sharp-shooting Heat offense ranks second in the league in that metric at 0.547, while the Philadelphia defense is ranked 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.512).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Pick
Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (40.4) while the Heat rank second (41.4).
- Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.5) while Miami ranks 28th (37.5).
- The 76ers rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Heat rank 16th (13.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while Miami ranks 26th (19.0).
- Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.5) while Miami ranks 16th (24.1).
- The 76ers average 8.7 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Heat rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- The 76ers rank 12th in fast break points per game (13.9) while the Heat rank 25th (11.4).
- Philadelphia ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.9) while Miami ranks 26th (4.3).
- Miami is 4-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 10-1.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Heat are 23-4 and the 76ers are 20-5.
- Philadelphia is 7-7-1 ATS on the road, while Miami is 10-3-1 ATS at home.
- The 76ers have 8 overs, 6 unders and 1 push in 15 road games.
- Of the Heat’s 14 home games, they have 9 overs and 5 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Miami are both 3-2 ATS.
- The 76ers have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Heat have 4 overs and 1 under
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (3.4 above their season average).
- The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 5.0 for the season.
