A five-game home winning streak is on the line for the Indiana Pacers (21-12), who will be 1-point underdogs when they meet the Philadelphia 76ers (23-12) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 3 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 31, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The 76ers (1.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Miami Heat, 117-116, while the Pacers (2-point underdogs) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 120-98. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game went 19.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5, while the Indiana game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5.
Philadelphia held Miami to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.0 (below their season average of 22.3) while Indiana did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-29; 89.7 percent). Indiana rallied around Domantas Sabonis, who put up 15 points and 16 rebounds. Joel Embiid led the way for Philadelphia, putting up 35 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Embiid led the 76ers to a 119-116 win. He registered a double-double with 32 points and 11 rebounds. Philadelphia was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite and the two teams combined for 235 points, which was well over the projected point total of 206.5. The 76ers’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Pacers. Philadelphia had a rate of 11.4, while Indiana posted a mark of 17.9.
Of the 76ers’ 35 games, 18 have finished over the O/U total. Philadelphia holds records of 23-12 straight up (SU) and 17-15-3 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Philadelphia, a little over half of Pacers games have finished under the O/U total. Further, Indiana is 21-12 SU and 17-14-2 ATS.
The 76ers’ Ben Simmons has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 14 points,11.4 assists,8.6 rebounds,2.8 steals per game. Meanwhile, Aaron Holiday has averaged 14 points,6.0 assists during that same time frame for the Pacers.
Second-chance points could be scarce for Indiana in this showdown. The Pacers are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 26th in offensive rebounding percentage at 21.2 percent. Meanwhile, Philadelphia ranks first in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 81.6 percent.
Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Philadelphia ranks third in steals per game (8.6) while Indiana ranks 24th (6.9).
- The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Pacers rank 15th (5.0).
- Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.6) while Indiana ranks 10th (23.4).
- Philadelphia averages 47.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Indiana ranks 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.3).
- The 76ers rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Pacers rank 23rd (13.9).
- The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (27.5) while the Pacers rank seventh (32.6).
- Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.4) while Indiana ranks 14th (45.3).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 5-1 and Philadelphia is 10-1.
- The 76ers are 20-6 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pacers are 21-6.
- Indiana is 9-6-2 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 8-8-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 9 of the 76ers’ 17 road games, while 9 of the Pacers’ 17 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Indiana have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The 76ers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 4.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (8.3 above their season average).
