Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 01/30/20

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The Philadelphia 76ers (31-17) will travel to State Farm Arena to go head-to-head with the Atlanta Hawks (12-36). The 76ers opened as 7.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228 points and it gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 30, 2020.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The 76ers (13.5-point favorites) beat the Golden State Warriors, 115-104, while the Hawks (13-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 130-114. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 215, while the Atlanta game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.

The 76ers knocked down 20 of their 26 free throws (76.9 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.579 (above their season average of 0.529). Atlanta, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (20-25; 80.0 percent). Atlanta was led by John Collins, who put up 28 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Joel Embiid played a pivotal role for Philadelphia with 24 points and 10 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Embiid led the 76ers to a 105-103 victory. He recorded a double-double with 36 points and 13 rebounds. Philadelphia was unable to cover as a 5.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 221.5. The 76ers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Hawks. Philadelphia had a rate of 24.5, while Atlanta posted a mark of 17.8.

Games including the 76ers have gone over the total 47.9 percent of the time. Philadelphia heads into the contest with records of 31-17 straight up (SU) and 22-23-3 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Hawks have a tendency to finish over the total (56.3 percent). Additionally, Atlanta owns records of 12-36 SU and 22-26 ATS.

The 76ers’ Ben Simmons has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,10.0 rebounds,8.6 assists,2.8 steals per game. Meanwhile, Collins has averaged 23 points,9.2 rebounds,1.4 blocks during that same time frame for the Hawks.

The inefficient offense of Atlanta (30th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 102.2) will battle against the elite defense of Philadelphia (third in the league with a defensive efficiency of 103.4). The 76ers should have the edge on that side of the ball.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.3) while the Hawks rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Philadelphia ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while Atlanta ranks 29th (14.6).
  • The 76ers rank sixth in steals per game (8.3) while the Hawks rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (53.5).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (26.3) while Atlanta ranks 21st (23.2).
  • The 76ers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Hawks rank 27th (6.4).
  • The 76ers rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6) while the Hawks rank 29th (19.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.3) while Atlanta ranks seventh (32.0).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while Atlanta ranks 26th (47.0).
  • Philadelphia is 14-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 4-0.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Hawks are 12-29 and the 76ers are 27-7.
  • Atlanta is 14-9 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 9-14-1 ATS on the road.
  • The 76ers have 12 unders, 11 overs and 1 push in 24 road games.
  • The Hawks have 12 unders and 11 overs in 23 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while Philadelphia has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 9.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.0 points per game (4.8 below their season average).