Two clubs that split their head-to-head series 2-2 a year ago, the Ottawa Senators and the Tampa Bay Lightning take the ice at Amalie Arena. The action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, and you’ll be able to view this divisional matchup live on Fox Sports Sun.
Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
Tampa Bay (-310) is currently favored over Ottawa (+255) and the Over/Under (O/U) is placed at 7 goals. The odds for betting that total stand at -105 money on the over and -115 on the under.
The Lightning are 12-4 straight up (SU) and have netted moneyline bettors 5.3 units this year. That winning percentage, the NHL’s second-strongest so far in this young season, is an improvement compared to what the team did during last year’s regular season (54-28). Of its 16 games this season, seven have gone under the total, while seven have gone over and just one has pushed. The team’s 7-2 SU at home this year.
Tampa Bay’s converted on 23.7 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked second overall, and it’s successfully killed off 90.2 percent of all penalties.
As a team, Tampa has been penalized 4.1 times per game overall this season, 3.6 per game over its past five games total, and 4.0 per game over its last five at home. The team’s had to stave off opposition power plays for just 8.6 minutes per game over its last 10 outings, overall.
With a .937 save percentage and 29.5 saves per game, Andrei Vasilevskiy (9-3-1) has been the primary option in goal for the Lightning this year. If they decide to rest him, however, the team may roll with Louis Domingue (3-1-1 record, .885 save percentage, 3.77 goals against average).
Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov will both lead the charge for the Lightning. Point (19 points) has tallied nine goals and 10 assists and has recorded two or more points five times this year. Kucherov has seven goals and 11 assists to his credit and has notched at least one point in 10 contests.
Ottawa has lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors thus far and is currently 6-10 straight up (SU). A total of 12 of its outings have gone over the total, while two have gone under the total and just two have pushed. As the visiting team so far, Ottawa is 1-5 SU.
Ottawa has scored on 26.0 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 32nd overall and it’s successfully killed off 67.3 percent of all opponent power plays.
Ottawa’s players have been penalized 3.9 times per game in total this season, and 3.2 per game over their past five match ups. The team’s had to defend opponent power plays just 7.0 minutes per game over their last five outings.
Craig Anderson (.907 save percentage and 3.67 goals against average) has been the main option in goal for Ottawa. Anderson is averaging 33.3 saves per game and has six wins, nine losses, and three overtime losses to his credit.
For the visiting Senators, the offense will run through Thomas Chabot (five goals, 17 assists) and Mark Stone (six goals, 13 assists).
Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Free Picks
Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Lightning, O/U – Over
Betting Notes
- The total has gone over in four of Ottawa’s last five games.
- Ottawa has managed 26.4 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Tampa Bay is averaging 36.0 shots per game over its last five home outings.
- Tampa Bay has averaged 4.3 goals per game (while giving up just 2.0) across its four-game winning streak.
- Seven of Ottawa’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 2-5 in those games.
- The Bolts this season have registered the sixth-most hits per game in the NHL (24.8).
