Orlando Magic vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction 02/05/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (33-19) will be 10-point favorites at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they clash with the Orlando Magic (22-31). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224.5 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019.

Orlando Magic at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

The Magic beat the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, 102-89, comfortably covering as 3-point favorites. The Thunder, on the other hand, were beaten by the Boston Celtics, 134-129, and failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Orlando game went 30.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5, while the Oklahoma City game went 35 points over the projected point total of 228.

The Magic forced 18 turnovers and held the Nets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.418 (below their season average of 0.523). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (25-34; 73.5 percent). Oklahoma City rallied around Russell Westbrook, who registered his fifth triple-double in a row (18th of the season). He took over, accumulating 22 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds. Nikola Vucevic, meanwhile led the way for Orlando, contributing 24 points and 12 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Westbrook led the Thunder to a 126-117 victory. He recorded a triple-double with 23 points, 14 rebounds and 14 assists. Oklahoma City covered as a 3.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 243 points, which was well over the projected point total of 221.5. The Thunder’s 6.4 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Magic, who had a mark of 9.8.

Of the Magic’s 53 games, 30 have finished under the projected point total. Orlando comes into the game with records of 22-31 straight up (SU) and 26-24-3 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Orlando, a little over half of Thunder games have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 33-19 SU and 29-23 ATS.

It will be a matchup of contrasting styles as the fast-paced Thunder (ranked third in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Magic (27th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Magic’s 26th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 104.1) will face a tough challenge against the Thunder’s fifth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 104.0).

Orlando Magic vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Magic average 24.5 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Thunder rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.2).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (10.2) while Orlando ranks 27th (6.5).
  • The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (20.6) while the Magic rank 23rd (14.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in rebounds per game (48.0) while Orlando ranks 22nd (43.8).
  • Orlando ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th (5.0).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in points in the paint per game (52.8) while the Magic rank 29th (42.4).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Magic rank 20th (12.5).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.6) while Orlando ranks 27th (9.8).
  • Orlando is 9-3 when they allow below 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 6-0.
  • The Magic are 18-14 when they score over 100 points, while the Thunder are 31-13.
  • Orlando is 14-10-2 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 13-11 ATS at home.
  • Of the Magic’s 26 road games, they have 16 unders and 10 overs.
  • The Thunder have 15 overs, 8 unders and 1 push in 24 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Orlando and Oklahoma City are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Magic have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Thunder have 4 overs and 1 under
  • During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 103.0 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (4.8 below their season average).
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 5.0 for the season.