The Orlando Magic (23-32) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top shooting defense when they square off against the Milwaukee Bucks (41-13) at Fiserv Forum. The game will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Bucks (12-point underdogs) defeated the Dallas Mavericks 122-107, while the Magic (4-point favorite) beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-112. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Milwaukee game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Orlando game went 19 points over the projected point total of 215.
The Magic knocked down 21 of their 23 free throws (91.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.608 (above their season average of 0.509). Milwaukee, on the other hand, played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.3 (above their season average of 20.6) and a turnover percentage of 10.8 (better than their season average of 12.0). For those same stats, Dallas was 18.0 and 12.8, respectively. Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who had 29 points, 17 rebounds and five assists. Nikola Vucevic, meanwhile played a key role for Orlando with 21 points and 10 rebounds.
The Bucks have won both contests against the Magic this year. The two teams combined to score 226 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 221.5. Milwaukee won 118-108, covering as a 10-point favorite. Making free throws was one of Milwaukee’s largest strengths. They were 12-15 (80.0 percent), while the Magic were just 6-9 (66.7 percent). Despite the loss, Vucevic had a standout performance with 27 points and six rebounds.
A little over half of the Magic’s games have finished under the total. Orlando comes into the contest with records of 23-32 straight up (SU) and 27-25-3 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Bucks also have gone under the total 52.8 percent of the time. Moreover, Milwaukee is 41-13 SU and 31-20-2 ATS.
It will be a battle of conflicting paces as the up-tempo Bucks will look to push the more half-court-oriented Magic. The Bucks rank fifth in possessions per game while the Magic are 27th. Furthermore, the Magic’s 23rd-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 104.6) will face a difficult test against the Bucks’ top-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 102.2).
Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Magic rank 23rd in second chance points per game (12.4) while the Bucks rank 26th (11.4).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (54.9) while Orlando ranks last (42.4).
- The Bucks rank sixth in fast break points per game (17.4) while the Magic rank 27th (9.7).
- Milwaukee ranks 13th in steals per game (7.9) while Orlando ranks 26th (6.6).
- Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Orlando ranks eighth (15.6).
- The Magic rank sixth in three pointers allowed per game (29.5) while the Bucks rank last (36.0).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (5.9) while the Magic rank 10th (5.4).
- Orlando ranks 14th in assists per game (24.6) while Milwaukee ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (48.7) while Orlando ranks 23rd (43.7).
- When allowing below 100 points, Orlando is 9-3 and Milwaukee is 13-1.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Magic are 19-15 and the Bucks are 41-10.
- Milwaukee is 17-10 ATS at home, while Orlando is 14-11-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 16 of the Magic’s 27 road games, while 14 of the Bucks’ 27 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Orlando and Milwaukee have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Bucks are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 3-2.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 123.8 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
- The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Orlando has lost by an average of 3.0 points.
