Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction 12/09/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks (20-3), the NBA’s top scoring team and 11.5-point favorites, will clash with the Orlando Magic (11-11) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points and it will air on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 9, 2019.

Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last contest. The Bucks (4.5-point favorites) defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 119-91, while the Magic (5-point favorites) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 93-87. The Milwaukee game went 24.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5, while the Orlando game went 30 points under the projected point total of 210.

Making free throws was one of Orlando’s biggest strengths. They were 20-23 (87.0 percent), while the Cavaliers were just 7-10 (70.0 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had an effective field goal percentage of 0.543 (below their season average of 0.561) and a turnover percentage of 12.7 (worse than their season average of 12.4). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 0.394 and 17.0, respectively. Milwaukee’s Khris Middleton led the way, finishing with 17 points, six rebounds and five assists. Orlando was lifted by Terrence Ross, who put up 21 points.

In their first matchup this year, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 123-91 win. He recorded a double-double with 29 points and 14 rebounds. The two teams combined for 214 points, which was just over the projected point total of 213.5, and Milwaukee covered as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bucks’ 26.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Magic, who had a mark of 17.5.

Magic games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Orlando heads into the contest with records of 11-11 straight up (SU) and 9-11-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Bucks games, with 12 overs compared to 11 unders. Moreover, Milwaukee is 20-3 SU and 12-11 ATS.

This contest should be a showdown of conflicting styles. Milwaukee has preferred to play up-tempo (third in possessions per game), while Orlando has been more half-court-oriented (30th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Magic’s 24th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 103.3) will square off against the Bucks’ top-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 99.9).

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Magic rank second in blocks per game (6.7) while the Bucks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
  • Milwaukee ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.6) while Orlando ranks 27th (43.5).
  • The Bucks rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Magic rank 17th (17.4).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.8) while Orlando ranks 13th (45.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.4) while Orlando ranks sixth (12.0).
  • The Magic rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (32.0) while the Bucks rank 28th (38.2).
  • The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Magic rank seventh (7.1).
  • Milwaukee averages 25.7 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Orlando ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.9) while Orlando ranks 22nd (11.9).
  • Orlando is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 6-0.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Magic are 8-3 and the Bucks are 20-3.
  • Milwaukee is 6-5 ATS at home, while Orlando is 5-5 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Bucks’ 11 home games, while 5 of the Magic’s 10 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Orlando and Milwaukee have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 3-2.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 126.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 97.6 points per game (9.8 below their season average).
  • The Magic’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 0.4 for the season.