The Orlando Magic (10-10), 8-point underdogs, will travel to ORACLE Arena to meet the Golden State Warriors (14-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.
Orlando Magic vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
The Magic come in on a high note after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers in their last contest, 108-104, as 8.5-point underdogs. The Warriors, meanwhile, topped the Sacramento Kings,117-116, but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Orlando game finished 2 points over the projected point total of 210, while the Golden State game went 7 points over the projected point total of 226.
The Magic held the Lakers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 23.2). The Lakers also had a turnover percentage of 16.3 (above their season average of 13.2). The Warriors, on the other hand, made 25 of their 29 free throws (86.2 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1 (above their season average of 23.0). Golden State was lifted by Kevin Durant, who recorded 44 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Nikola Vucevic had a solid performance for Orlando, contributing 31 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists.
The Warriors dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the last game, Golden State won 133-112. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.693 vs. 0.516). Orlando, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (11.9 vs. 17.0). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Games involving the Magic tend to go under the total (63.2 percent). Orlando comes into the game with records of 10-10 straight up (SU) and 10-8-1 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Orlando, a little over half of Warriors games have finished over the projected point total. Golden State has a respectable 14-7 SU record, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (9-12 ATS).
Vucevic has really been playing well as of late for Orlando, averaging 25 points,11.4 rebounds,3.4 assists over the last five games.
The high-octane offense of Golden State (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 113.6) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Orlando (15th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 106.9). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Magic rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.9 percent), while the Warriors rank 27th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.8 percent).
Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Magic are 25 in the league with 43.9 points in the paint per game while the Warriors are 29 with 40.38095238095238 points in the paint per game.
- Orlando ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Golden State ranks 20th (8.0).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Magic rank 14th (5.0).
- Orlando averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.0).
- Golden State ranks 14 in rebounds per game (45.714285714285715) while Orlando ranks 23 in rebounds allowed per game (46.55).
- The Warriors rank fifth in fast break points per game (17.0) while the Magic rank 22nd (11.2).
- The Magic rank 15 in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Warriors rank 25 (11.857142857142858).
- Orlando ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (30.1) while Golden State ranks 26th (34.1).
- Orlando is 2-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 2-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Warriors are 14-3 and the Magic are 9-3.
- Orlando is 4-2-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 7-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Magic’s 7 road games, while 7 of the Warriors’ 12 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Magic are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Orlando has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has lost by an average of 2.9 points.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (8.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
