The Oregon State Beavers (+21) are heading west to battle the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. This showdown will kick off pretty late for bettors on the East Coast (9:00 p.m. ET) and Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal vs. Oregon State Beavers
Stanford is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 21 points to Oregon State. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 58.5 points. If one side catches a lucky break early on, it’ll probably create a worthy live betting opportunity.
The game’s opening line was -23. The over/under hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 58.5.
The Beavers are down 4.0 units so far in 2018 and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-3.
The Cardinal have lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-3.
The Beavers have gone 2-7 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinal are 5-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.
These two squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 15-14 victory for Stanford.
The Beavers are trying to get back on track after a 38-21 defeat to USC last weekTheir defense allowed the Trojans to run for 332 yards on 44 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Aca’Cedric Ware was on another level for the Trojans in that one with 205 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 17 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Jake Luton completed 31-of-45 passes for 301 yards and one touchdown. Jermar Jefferson (58 yards on 18 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Trevon Bradford (10 receptions, 63 yards) and Isaiah Hodgins (eight catches, 129 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Stanford just suffered a 27-23 defeat to Washington. The defense allowed the Huskies to rush for 177 yards on 45 attempts, including two rush TDs. Myles Gaskin put up a solid showing, posting 148 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts for Washington. For Stanford, K.J. Costello completed 29-of-43 passes for 347 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Bryce Love (71 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Kaden Smith (eight receptions, 107 yards, one TD) and Colby Parkinson (five catches, 79 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Oregon State has run the ball on 54.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Stanford has a rush percentage of 45.7 percent. The Beavers have produced 167.9 rush yards/game (including 145.7 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 22 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cardinal are putting up 93.1 rush yards per game (99.3 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Cardinal may be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has allowed just 17 sacks while their D-line has registered 23 sacks. The Beavers O-line has given up 42 sacks and their defense has created only nine sacks.
The Beavers offense has averaged 249.2 yards through the air overall (216.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Cardinal have produced 279.1 pass yards per contest (299 against Pac-12 competition) and have 19 total pass TDs.
Oregon State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 274.6 yards and throw for 262.3 yards per game. The Stanford D has given up 266.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 145.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cardinal are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.31 to opponents, while the Beavers have allowed an ugly 9.05 ANY/A.
Offensively, Luton is up to 673 passing yards this year. He’s completed 66 percent of his 90 attempts with two scores through the air and one interception. Luton’s got a 6.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.03 over the last two games.
As a group, Isaiah Hodgins, Jermar Jefferson and Timmy Hernandez have combined for 672 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, K.J. Costello has completed 165-of-254 passes for 2,189 yards, 15 TDs and nine INTs. Costello’s ANY/A sits at 7.36 for the year and 7.30 over his past two outings.
We also expect the Stanford offense to mix things up this Saturday. As a trio, Kaden Smith, Bryce Love and Trenton Irwin have combined for 532 total yards and four touchdowns the last couple of games.
Oregon State Beavers at Stanford Cardinal Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Stanford, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Oregon State’s last game was set at 64.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-21 defeat to USC.
- Oregon State has averaged 2.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 1.9 over its last two.
- Stanford has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.
- The Stanford offense has lost three fumbles this season while Oregon State has lost six.
- Over its last three matchups, Oregon State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Stanford’s previous match was set at 43.5. The over cashed in that 27-23 defeat to Washington.
- In its last three contests, Stanford is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Stanford has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a seven-point win over Arizona State on October 18th accounting for the one victory over that span.
- The Beavers offense has created seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinal have accounted for five such plays.
- The Oregon State defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Stanford has given up five such plays.
- The Oregon State offense has created 20 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Stanford has created eight such runs.
- The Beavers defense has allowed 29 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Cardinal have given up 12 such runs.
- The Stanford D has sacked opposing QBs 23 times this season. Oregon State has registered just nine sacks.
