The Oregon State Beavers (+11) are traveling west to face the California Golden Bears at California Memorial Stadium. This Pac-12 matchup will get underway at 2:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to Pac-12 Networks. When the two schools met last year, California knocked off Oregon State by six touchdowns 49-7.
Betting Preview: California Golden Bears vs. Oregon State Beavers
In this Saturday Pac-12 game, California is projected as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 11 points. The Beavers are also receiving +315 moneyline odds while the Golden Bears are -425. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points. If California gets behind in the early stages, it would likely generate a decent in-game betting opportunity.
Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Beavers. The opening line was initially set at -12 and the game’s O/U was originally 52.
The Beavers are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.3 units so far in 2019. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-3.
The Golden Bears have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 5.0 units. They’re 3-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-5.
The Beavers have gone just 2-4 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Bears are 4-2 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Beavers fell to Utah 52-7 in a thumping where their defense allowed the Utes to rush for 256 yards on 42 attempts, including four rush TDs. Zack Moss had a good day for the opposition in that one with 121 rushing yards and two touchdowns on five attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Beavers completed 22-of-42 passes for 169 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jake Luton went 17-for-34 for 131 yards and one interception while Tristan Gebbia completed five-of-eight for 38 yards and one touchdown. Artavis Pierce (just 21 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the ground attack while Isaiah Hodgins (eight receptions, 77 yards) and Kolby Taylor (five catches, 36 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
A couple of weeks ago, Oregon got the victory against this California crew by a score of 17-7. The Golden Bears defense let the Ducks rush for 190 yards on 40 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jacob Breeland had a solid outing, recording 87 yards on five catches for Oregon. For California, Devon Modster completed 17-of-34 passes for 190 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Christopher Brown Jr. (42 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Modster (30 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running attack while Trevon Clark (six receptions, 69 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Oregon State has run the ball on 48.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while California has an overall rush percentage of 59.1 percent. The Beavers have produced 177.2 rush yards/game (including 125 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Golden Bears are averaging 134.2 rushing yards per game (121 in conference) and have five total rush TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Beavers ought to have the advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts, since their offensive line has allowed only 48 sacks while their D-line registered 15 sacks. The Golden Bears O-line has given up 36 sacks and their defense has created only 31 sacks.
The Beavers offensive scheme has tallied 255.3 yards per game in the air overall (263.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing scores so far. The Golden Bears have put up 196.8 pass yards per contest (147 against Pac-12 foes) and have nine total pass TDs.
Defensively, Oregon State has allowed 205.7 rush yards and 245.3 pass yards per game. The California D has given up 214.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 157.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.07 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have allowed a whopping 8.73 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Luton is up to 1,143 yards this season, and has completed 99-of-169 attempts with nine passing scores and only one interception. He has a 7.01 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.50 over the last two outings.
Devon Modster has managed to complete 18-of-35 passes for 206 yards, one TD and two INTs for California. His ANY/A stands at a terrible 2.74 for the year and 1.23 over his past two games.
Oregon State Beavers at California Golden Bears Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: California, ATS Winner: California, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The O/U for Oregon State’s previous game was 60. The under cashed in the team’s 52-7 defeat to Utah.
- Oregon State has produced 4.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.
- California has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.6 over its past two.
- California has lost three fumbles this season while Oregon State has not lost any.
- Over its last three matchups, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for California’s last game was set at 46.5. The under cashed in that 17-7 loss to Oregon.
- In its last three games, California is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Beavers offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Golden Bears have accounted for three such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Oregon State defense has given up nine pass plays of 30+ yards while California has given up six such plays.
- The Oregon State offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while California has created six such runs.
- The Beavers defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Golden Bears have given up five such runs.
- The California defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 14 times this season. Oregon State has recorded 12 sacks.
