A matchup between two programs ranked in the Top 25 nationally, the No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils are getting 14.5 points as they prepare to welcome their in-conference counterpart No. 6 Oregon Ducks to Sun Devil Stadium, Frank Kush Field. The game will begin at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action live on ABC.
Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State is entering this Pac-12 game as a noticeable underdog and is currently getting 14.5 points. The Ducks are also receiving -750 moneyline odds while the Sun Devils are +510. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 54 points, and there might be some good live betting scenarios for this game.
The under is receiving most of the early sharp action, as the game’s over/under initially opened at 55.
The Ducks are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.0 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-6.
The Sun Devils are up 0.5 units this season. The team is 3-6-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 5-5.
The Ducks have gone 9-1 straight up (SU), including 7-0 SU against conference opponents. The Sun Devils are 5-5 SU overall and 2-5 SU in conference play.
Arizona State comes into this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Oregon has lost zero in a row. The Ducks are looking to keep things going following a solid 34-6 victory over Arizona last week. Justin Herbert completed 20-of-28 passes for 333 yards, four scores and one interception. Travis Dye (71 yards on 14 rush attempts) and CJ Verdell (49 yards on 11 carries) propelled the ground attack while Juwan Johnson (five receptions, 93 yards, one TD) and Johnny Johnson III (four catches, 89 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Oregon State knocked off this Arizona State team by a score of 35-34. Jayden Daniels completed 24-of-36 passes for 334 yards and three touchdowns. Eno Benjamin (70 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) led the running game while Brandon Aiyuk (10 receptions, 173 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Oregon’s run the ball on 52.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Arizona State has a rush percentage of 51.8. Having said that, the Ducks have produced 179.8 rush yards/game (including 177.1 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Sun Devils haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re putting up 115.4 rush yards per game (116.6 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then the Ducks ought to hold an advantage in the trenches, since their offensive line has allowed just 22 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Sun Devils, on the other hand, have allowed 16 sacks and their defense has forced only 29 sacks.
The Ducks offense has averaged 280.6 yards through the air overall (264.1 per game versus conference opposition) and has 31 passing scores so far. The Sun Devils have produced 252.8 pass yards per outing (257 in the Pac-12) and have 18 total pass TDs.
Oregon seems to possess the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 100.9 yards and pass for 205.2 yards per game. The Arizona State defense has allowed 270.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.3 yards per game on the ground. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.38 to opposing QBs, while the Sun Devils have given up a 7.3 ANY/A.
Offensively, Herbert has put up 2,437 passing yards this season, and has connected on 69 percent of his 290 attempts with 25 passing scores and only two interceptions. Herbert has a sparkling 8.97 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.71 over the last two outings.
We expect the Ducks to control the pace by pounding the defense with their running backs. In addition to receiver Juwan Johnson (193 receiving yards and one touchdown), Travis Dye (418 rush yards, 118 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Darrian Felix (155 rush yards, two rush TDs, 48 receiving yards) have delivered in the Oregon offensive scheme.
Jayden Daniels has completed 159-of-259 passes for 2,236 yards, 14 TDs and two INTs for Arizona State. His ANY/A stands at 8.10 for the year and 8.90 across his past two outings.
The Sun Devils also prefer to rely on their backfield. In addition to Brandon Aiyuk (913 receiving yards, six receiving TDs), Eno Benjamin (749 rush yards, eight rush TDs, 231 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Frank Darby (386 receiving yards and four TDs) have seen plenty of action lately.
These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 31-29 win for Oregon.
Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- Arizona State has lost eight fumbles this season while Oregon has lost four.
- The Oregon D has 32 sacks on the year while Arizona State has just 19.
- As a team, Oregon has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.8 over its last two.
- Arizona State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.6 over its last two.
- In its last three games, Arizona State is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for Oregon’s last game was set at 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-6 win over Arizona.
- In its last three matches, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Arizona State’s last matchup was 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-34 defeat to Oregon State.
