Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys – 11/30/2019 Free Pick

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In a game that showcases two teams that are nationally ranked in the Top 21 overall, the No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (-13.5) are paying a visit to their Big 12 foe No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boone Pickens Stadium. FOX has the TV rights and the game is scheduled to kick off at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma State is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 13.5 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to put up $600 to win $100 back on the Sooners (-600). The Cowboys are getting +425 moneyline odds. If one school can create a bunch of points early it will create a nice in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 69.5 points.

The O/U has not changed after it was initially placed at 69.5. Having said that, the line opened at 12 so square bettors are siding with the Sooners.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Sooners have gained 4.0 units and the Cowboys are up 2.1 units.

The Sooners have gone 10-1 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Cowboys are 8-3 SU overall and are also 5-3 SU in conference play.

The Sooners are coming off a 28-24 victory over TCU last week. Jalen Hurts completed only 11 passes on 21 attempts for 145 yards, two scores and one interception. Hurts (173 rushing yards on 28 attempts, two TDs) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Kennedy Brooks (149 yards on 25 carries) in the win. Charleston Rambo (six receptions, 77 yards) and Lee Morris (two catches, 32 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Oklahoma State is coming off of a 20-13 win over West Virginia. The defensive secondary allowed the Mountaineers to air it out for 307 yards. George Campbell had a productive showing in the loss for West Virginia, recording 92 yards and a score on five catches. For Oklahoma State, Dru Brown completed 22-of-29 passes for 196 yards and two touchdowns. Chuba Hubbard (106 rushing yards on 26 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the win while Dillon Stoner (eight receptions, 62 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

Oklahoma has run the ball on 59.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma State has a rush percentage of 62.4 percent. The Sooners have produced 257.9 rush yards/game (including 233 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 30 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Cowboys are logging 246.1 rushing yards per game (231.4 in conference) and have 25 total rush TDs.

The Sooners offensive scheme has logged 316.8 yards per game in the air overall (303.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 33 passing scores so far. The Cowboys have recorded 229.5 pass yards per outing (218 in the Big 12) and have 21 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Oklahoma should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 142.1 yards and pass for 194.9 yards per game. The Oklahoma State defense has allowed 276.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 139.0 yards per game on the ground. The Sooners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.75 to opponents, while the Cowboys have given up a 6.34 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Hurts is up to 2,887 yards on the year, and has completed 162-of-227 attempts with 26 scores through the air and only five interceptions. He has a 13.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.35 over the last two games.

For the home team, Dru Brown has connected on 32-of-42 passes for 349 yards, four TDs and zero INTs. Brown’s ANY/A stands at 9.00 for the season and 8.16 over his last two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Oklahoma earned the win 48-47.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Free Prediction

SU Winner: Oklahoma State, ATS Winner: Oklahoma State, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Oklahoma defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 28 times this season. Oklahoma State has registered 24 sacks.
  • Oklahoma State has lost seven fumbles this season while the Oklahoma offense has lost nine.
  • The Sooners offense has registered 16 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cowboys have accounted for 14 such plays.
  • The Oklahoma defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has given up nine such plays.
  • The Oklahoma offense has created 33 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has created 30 such runs.
  • The Sooners defense has allowed 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s previous match going into it was 56.5. The under cashed in the 20-13 triumph over West Virginia.
  • In its last three games, Oklahoma State is 1-0-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three matches, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s previous game was set at 64.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-24 victory over TCU.
  • Oklahoma has rushed for 5.2 yards per attempt across its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.
  • Oklahoma State has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its past two.