A five-game road winning streak is on the line for the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-20) when they meet the Sacramento Kings (17-29) at Golden 1 Center. The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
In the Kings’ last outing, they defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 133-129, as 3-point underdogs. The Thunder, on the other hand, were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 107-97, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 38.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5, while the Oklahoma City game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.
The Kings knocked down 27 of their 34 free throws (79.4 percent), while the Timberwolves had a turnover percentage of 16.2 (above their season average of 12.5). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, did a terrific job of making free throws (17-19; 89.5 percent). Sacramento was led by Buddy Hield, who had 42 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander fueled Oklahoma City with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Hield led the Kings to a 94-93 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 23 points. The two teams combined to score 187 points, which was well under the projected point total of 207, and Sacramento was unable to cover as a 2-point favorite. Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 14.7). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.152 vs. 0.068).
Of the Thunder’s 48 games, 26 have finished under the O/U total. Oklahoma City holds records of 28-20 straight up (SU) and 31-16-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Kings have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Sacramento is 17-29 SU and 22-24 ATS.
The Thunder’s Dennis Schroder has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,5.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Nemanja Bjelica has averaged 14 points,7.4 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Kings.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Sacramento ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.9) and Oklahoma City is 23rd (100.9). Also, the Thunder rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.231), while the Kings rank 24th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.219).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Kings average 45.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. The Thunder rank 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.7).
- Sacramento ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.5).
- The Thunder rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while the Kings rank 16th (24.2).
- Sacramento ranks 20th in fast break points per game (12.0) while Oklahoma City ranks last (9.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Sacramento ranks seventh (4.3).
- The Kings rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (34.2) while the Thunder rank 28th (29.8).
- The Thunder rank 23rd in rebounds per game (43.4) while the Kings rank 28th (42.6).
- Oklahoma City ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Sacramento ranks 20th (8.0).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 8-2 and Oklahoma City is 7-3.
- The Kings are 15-22 when they reach 100 points, while the Thunder are 27-12.
- Oklahoma City is 18-5 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 7-14 ATS at home.
- The Thunder have 14 unders and 9 overs in 23 road games.
- The Kings have 11 unders and 10 overs in 21 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 116.4 points per game (6.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 3.1 for the season.
