The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-11) will travel to the Smoothie King Center to go head-to-head against the New Orleans Pelicans (6-13). The Pelicans opened as 2-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 1, 2019.
Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds
In their two matchups this season, the Thunder have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 213 points, well under the projected point total of 229.5. Oklahoma City won 109-104, covering as 5-point favorites. The Thunder’s 10.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Pelicans, who had a rate of 11.9. Ingram scored a game-high 26 points.
Thunder games have typically gone under the total (55.6 percent). Although Oklahoma City struggles winning games straight up (7-11 SU), they have a respectable record against the spread (10-7-1).
In opposition of Oklahoma City, a little over half of Pelicans games have finished over the total. Further, New Orleans owns records of 6-13 SU and 8-10-1 ATS.
It will be a showdown of contrasting styles as the fast-breaking Pelicans (ranked fourth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Thunder (25th in possessions per game). Furthermore, the Thunder, who rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.228), could get to the line a ton against the Pelicans, who rank 25th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.228).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank eighth in steals per game (8.2) while the Thunder rank 11th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while New Orleans ranks 28th (16.9).
- The Thunder rank seventh in assists allowed per game (22.9) while the Pelicans rank 25th (25.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while New Orleans ranks 26th (19.7).
- New Orleans ranks 17th in rebounds per game (45.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
- The Pelicans rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Thunder rank 29th (9.2).
- The Thunder rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2) while the Pelicans rank 29th (52.8).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (39.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 23rd (30.2).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Oklahoma City is 3-2.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Pelicans are 6-12 and the Thunder are 7-6.
- Oklahoma City is 4-4 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 5-4 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Thunder’s 8 road games, while 5 of the Pelicans’ 9 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City and New Orleans are both 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 1.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.2 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
