Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Prediction 03/08/19

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The Los Angeles Clippers (37-29) will be 1.5-point favorites at home in the Staples Center when they clash with the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-25). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 236 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 8, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Clippers (4-point underdogs) defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 113-105, while the Thunder (2-point favorite) beat the Portland Trail Blazers 129-121. The Los Angeles game went 17.5 points under the projected point total of 235.5, while the Oklahoma City game went 13.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5.

The Thunder, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.7, had a great mark of 30.2 and held the Trail Blazers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.441 (below their season average of 0.527). The Clippers, meanwhile, held the Lakers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 22.0). Montrezl Harrell had a solid performance for Los Angeles with 14 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Paul George, meanwhile had a good game for Oklahoma City, recording 32 points, 14 rebounds and six assists.

In three matchups against each other this season, the Thunder have won two. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 214 points, which was under the projected point total of 221.5. Oklahoma City won 110-104 but was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. Oklahoma City had a much better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 23.5). Los Angeles, on the other hand, was lights out from beyond the arc (13-25; 52.0 percent). George was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points.

Vegas is extremely precise when setting the O/U total of Thunder games, with an even split between overs and unders. Oklahoma City holds records of 40-25 straight up (SU) and 33-31 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Oklahoma City, just over half of Clippers games have finished over the total. Additionally, Los Angeles is 37-29 SU and 38-28 ATS.

The aggressive Los Angeles offense might be living from the charity stripe in this showdown. The Clippers rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.259, while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in FTA rate allowed (0.209). Also, the Thunder could control the offensive glass in this matchup as they rank second in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.8 percent. The Clippers, meanwhile, rank 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.1 percent).

Thunder at Clippers ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while the Clippers rank 29th (25.4).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (20.1) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (14.9).
  • The Thunder average 15.1 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Clippers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (52.8) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.7).
  • Oklahoma City averages 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Los Angeles ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.2).
  • The Thunder rank first in steals per game (9.9) while the Clippers rank 25th (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in fast break points per game (18.4) while the Clippers rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
  • Oklahoma City averages 48.1 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 6-1 and Oklahoma City is 8-0.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Thunder are 37-19 and the Clippers are 37-20.
  • Los Angeles is 17-13 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 17-16 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Thunder’s 33 road games, they have 19 unders and 14 overs.
  • The Clippers have 19 overs, 10 unders and 1 push in 30 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Clippers are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Oklahoma City has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 0.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.2 points per game (2.8 above their season average).