The Oklahoma City Thunder (18-15), 2-point underdogs, will travel to the AT&T Center to challenge the San Antonio Spurs (14-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 2, 2020.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
The last time the Thunder played, they defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 106-101, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Spurs, on the other hand, beat the Golden State Warriors,117-113, but were unable to cover as 11-point favorites. The Oklahoma City game went 10.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the San Antonio game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 217.
Oklahoma City played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 36.0 (above their season average of 18.9) and a free throw rate of 0.242 (above their season average of 0.230). Dallas put up marks of 30.9 and 0.215, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, San Antonio’s 22.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Golden State, who had a rate of 17.3. The Spurs’ mark was above their season average of 20.9, while the Warriors’ was below their season average of 23.0. San Antonio was lifted by LaMarcus Aldridge, who had 17 points and 12 rebounds. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played a key role for Oklahoma City with 19 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Aldridge led the Spurs to a 121-112 victory. He scored a game-high 39 points. The two teams combined for 233 points, which was well over the projected point total of 211.5, and San Antonio covered as a 5-point favorite. San Antonio won the rebounding battle. The Spurs had 12 offensive rebounds and 47 total rebounds, while the Thunder had four and 31, respectively.
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 60.6 percent of their contests have gone under the projected point total. Oklahoma City holds records of 18-15 straight up (SU) and 20-12-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Oklahoma City, games involving the Spurs tend to go over the total (59.4 percent). Moreover, San Antonio is 14-18 SU and 10-20-2 ATS.
The Thunder’s Gilgeous-Alexander has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 29 points,2.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Aldridge has averaged 23 points,8.4 rebounds,2.4 blocks during that same time frame for the Spurs.
Oklahoma City may struggle to create turnovers. San Antonio ranks sixth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.7 percent), while Oklahoma City forces the 18th-most turnovers (13.6 percent). Moreover, the Thunder rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.5 percent), while the Spurs rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.0 percent).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- San Antonio ranks sixth in fast break points per game (15.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (8.5).
- The Spurs rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Thunder rank ninth (16.5).
- San Antonio averages 46.5 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (45.0).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while San Antonio ranks sixth (4.5).
- The Thunder rank fifth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while the Spurs rank 26th (25.3).
- The Spurs rank 25th in second chance points per game (11.8) while the Thunder rank 27th (10.5).
- Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while San Antonio ranks 20th (34.1).
- When allowing under 100 points, San Antonio is 1-0 and Oklahoma City is 6-3.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Spurs are 14-14 and the Thunder are 17-8.
- Oklahoma City is 10-5 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 5-13 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 11 of the Spurs’ 18 home games, while 10 of the Thunder’s 15 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 5 unders, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 1.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (7.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
