Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction 01/04/20

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (10-24) will be 6.5-point underdogs at home in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse when they go head-to-head against the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds

The last time the Thunder played, they defeated the San Antonio Spurs, 109-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, were topped by the Charlotte Hornets, 109-106, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 5 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Cleveland game finished 3 points over the projected point total of 212.

Oklahoma City dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 3.9 (better than their season average of 12.6) and a free throw rate of 0.157 (matching their season average). For those same stats, San Antonio was 7.6 and 0.109, respectively. Cleveland, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.586 (above their season average of 0.506). Kevin Love played well for Cleveland, putting up 18 points and eight rebounds. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander fueled Oklahoma City with 25 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

The Thunder dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent contest, Oklahoma City won 100-83. One of Oklahoma City’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 12-15 (80.0 percent), while the Cavaliers were just 4-9 (44.4 percent). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Games featuring the Thunder tend to finish under the total (61.8 percent). Oklahoma City holds records of 19-15 straight up (SU) and 21-12-1 against the spread (ATS).

Just over half of Cavaliers games have also finished under the total. Further, Cleveland is 10-24 SU and 14-18-2 ATS.

Getting to the line might be hard to find for Cleveland in this showdown. The Cavaliers rank 25th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.177, while Oklahoma City ranks fourth in FTA rate allowed (0.168).

Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 20th in points in the paint per game (46.2) while the Cavaliers rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.4) while Cleveland ranks 27th (15.5).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (25.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.0) while Cleveland ranks 27th (19.5).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while Cleveland ranks 15th (33.5).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (6.8).
  • The Cavaliers rank 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Thunder rank last (10.6).
  • Cleveland ranks 20th in rebounds per game (44.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (42.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks sixth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Cleveland ranks 26th (8.7).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 6-3 and Cleveland is 4-3.
  • The Thunder are 18-8 when they reach the century mark, while the Cavaliers are 9-14.
  • Cleveland is 7-9-1 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 11-5 ATS on the road.
  • In 16 road games, the Thunder have 11 unders and 5 overs.
  • Of the Cavaliers’ 17 home games, they have 10 unders and 7 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 5 unders, while Cleveland has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (4.5 below their season average).
  • The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 8.8 for the season.