The Oakland Raiders (+8) are set to take on the Green Bay Packers (-8) at Lambeau Field. This vital early afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Oakland Raiders
In this Sunday game, Green Bay has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 8 points. The Raiders are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Packers are -310. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46.5 points, and if one side can catch a lucky break early, it will probably generate a nice in-game betting opportunity.
The game’s total has been driven upward after opening at 46. The original spread (-8) has remained firm.
Each team has posted a good return this season as the Raiders have gained 3.5 units while the Packers are up 3.0 units.
The Raiders have gone 3-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Packers are 5-1 SU.
Each team enters this matchup on a two-game winning streak. The Raiders just notched a 24-21 win over Chicago on October 6. The passing game was on point as Derek Carr completed 25 passes on 32 attempts for 229 yards. Josh Jacobs (123 yards on 26 rush attempts, two TDs) propelled the ground attack in the win while Trevor Davis (four receptions, 42 yards) and Foster Moreau (four catches, 46 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Green Bay is coming off of a 23-22 win over Detroit in Week 6. The team’s defensive secondary let the Lions air it out for 265 yards. Kenny Golladay was a bright spot in the loss for Detroit, posting 121 yards on five catches. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 24-of-39 passes for 283 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jamaal Williams (104 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Aaron Jones (47 yards on 11 carries) mounted the ground game in the win as Allen Lazard (four receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Jones (four catches, 13 yards) led the receiving corps.
Oakland has run the ball on 46.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has an overall rush percentage of 41.6 percent. The Raiders have produced 134.4 rush yards/game and have six scores via handoffs this year. The Packers are totaling 105.8 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.
Based on the early season results, it appears the Raiders should hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.9 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Packers have rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.9 to opponents.
The Raiders offensive scheme has averaged 223.4 yards in the air overall and has six passing scores so far. The Packers have produced 265 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass TDs.
Defensively, Oakland has allowed 92 rush yards and 276.2 pass yards per game. The Green Bay defense has allowed 259.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Packers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.47 to opponents, while the Raiders have given up a 7.75 ANY/A.
Offensively, Carr has put up 928 passing yards this year, and has completed 97-of-130 attempts with four scores through the air and three interceptions. He’s got a 6.02 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.16 over the last two outings.
We expect the Oakland offense to mix it up in this one. Josh Jacobs, Trevor Davis and Darren Waller have combined for 459 total yards and three touchdowns over the last two outings.
For the home team, Aaron Rodgers has completed 115-of-185 passes for 1,352 yards, eight TDs and two INTs. Rodgers’ ANY/A sits at 6.97 for the year and 6.41 over his past two games.
We expect the Packers to control the game’s clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (265 receiving yards, one TD this season) has chipped in lately, but Aaron Jones (242 rush yards, four rush TDs, 88 receiving yards) and Jamaal Williams (191 rush yards, 87 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have been focal points in the Packers’ recent offensive strategies.
Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick
SU Winner: Raiders, ATS Winner: Raiders, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Raiders offense has produced one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Packers have put up four such plays.
- The Oakland defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Green Bay has given up six such plays.
- The Oakland offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Green Bay has created one such runs.
- The Raiders defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Packers have given up two such runs.
- The Green Bay defense has registered double the sack total of Oakland this season (18 to nine).
- Oakland, as a team, has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.0 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.0 over its last two.
