The New York Yankees will do battle against their AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays in a Friday night game. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and YES Network is in line to broadcast the game.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Oddsmakers have listed New York (-120) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+110). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -105 odds. Taking the over will give you -115 odds. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -145 for the Rays +1.5.
The Yankees are 56-29 SU and are 48-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.2 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 50-38 SU and 48-39 ATS. The team’s lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 6.6 units ATS.
Rays games have an over/under record of 36-45-6 so far in 2019. New York has been a good over bet with a total record of 46-35-3.
Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka is the projected starter for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka (5-5, 3.74 ERA) has recorded 85 strikeouts in 98.2 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 23 strikeouts and a 0.41 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (three starts).
The Rays are going with lefty Brendan McKay (1-0, 0.00 ERA), who has three punchouts and one walks to his name, along with a 0.33 WHIP. McKay hasn’t faced the Yankees yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.02 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 33 games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.98.
Tampa Bay’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .273/.346/.424 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led the Rays’ batters this year. Pham is slashing .281/.383/.461 with 13 home runs, 37 RBIs, 41 runs and seven stolen bases, and Garcia’s line sits at .277/.335/.450 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.22 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.13, along with a K/9 of 10.03.
The Yankees offense has slashed .265/.344/.463 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is hitting .339/.385/.526 with 12 home runs, 63 RBIs and 65 runs scored. Torres (.294/.361/.536) has produced 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 0.3 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 0.9 units and are 30-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.
Yankees at Rays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .807 this season and an OPS of .709 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .751 overall and .721 against southpaws.
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Tampa Bay has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 11 over their last 10.
