The Seattle Mariners are set to host the New York Yankees at T-Mobile Park. This AL matchup gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either RTNW or YES.
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Odds
New York (-220) is favored against Seattle (+200) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Yankees -1.5 runs (-150) and Mariners +1.5 runs (+130).
The Yankees have gone 87-47 SU this year and are 77-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.4 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 56-77 SU and 67-65 ATS. The team’s lost 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.1 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 75-47-10 in 2019. New York has also been a great over bet with a total record of 74-55-4.
James Paxton will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The left-handed Paxton (10-6, 4.42 ERA) has racked up 152 punchouts in 120 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mariners are handing the ball to lefty Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43 ERA), who’s got six punchouts and seven walks, along with a WHIP of 2.29. Sheffield did not record a start against the Yankees in 2018.
As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Seattle’s offense has put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .209/.294/.399 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have led the way for the Mariners’ offense this year. Santana is hitting .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Narvaez is batting .283 with 19 homers, 48 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.00, along with a K/9 of 9.91.
Yankees hitters have slashed .272/.345/.490 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been powered by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres, who collectively have belted 55 home runs. LeMahieu is slashing .333/.380/.531 with 22 home runs, 87 RBIs and 91 runs scored. Torres (.288/.352/.550) has produced 33 homers, 77 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 7.2 units and are 26-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 7.2 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 17 which went under the total.
Yankees vs. Mariners MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .854 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .762 overall and .760 against lefties.
- New York has recorded 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Mariners have lost three of their last four games SU.
