The New York Yankees are paying a visit to Boston to face their divisional rival Red Sox at Fenway Park. YES Network will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-110) as the favorite over New York (+100). The total stands at 11 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. The game’s runline odds stand at -210 for picking the Yankees +1.5 runs and +175 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Yankees are 92-49 SU and have gone 81-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 22.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 75-65 SU and 58-81 ATS. The team’s lost 19.6 units for moneyline bettors and 30.5 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 79-57-3 in 2019. New York has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-61-4.
Domingo German will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed German is 17-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 141 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.79 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 80 strikeouts and 39 walks to his credit, along with a 1.56 WHIP. Chacin hasn’t faced the Yankees yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.97, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In 62 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.99.
Boston’s hitters have produced 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .224/.306/.416 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the way for the Red Sox offense this year. Devers is hitting .316/.364/.570 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 114 runs scored, and Bogaerts has put up a line of .310/.387/.573 with 31 homers, 103 RBIs and 102 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.63 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.10, along with a K-per-9 of 9.90.
Yankees hitters have slashed .270/.343/.489 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 6.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .331/.378/.531 with 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 97 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .283/.346/.540 with 34 homers, 79 RBIs and 88 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 6.0 units and are 42-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Yankees at Red Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- New York has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .832 this season and an OPS of .825 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .826 overall and .827 against righties.
- The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU.
- New York has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
