DJ LeMahieu and the surging New York Yankees are ready to take the field against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Monday night game. YES Network will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). There’s a runline of Yankees -1.5 (+130) and Red Sox +1.5 (-150) for this matchup.
The Yankees are 94-50 SU and are 82-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 22.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 76-67 SU and 59-83 ATS. The team has lost 21.0 units for moneyline bettors and 32.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 79-60-3 over/under record in 2019. New York has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-63-4.
James Paxton will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The southpaw Paxton is 12-6 with a 4.16 ERA and 168 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 27 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Eduardo Rodriguez (17-5, 3.81 ERA), who has 168 punchouts and 66 walks as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Rodriguez is 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.58 ERA across three starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K-per-9 of 9.90.
The Yankees offense has slashed .269/.342/.488 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .328/.378/.524 with 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 99 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .286 with 35 homers, 83 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.99, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 65 games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.90.
The Boston hitters have put up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .213/.278/.394 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Devers is hitting .313/.363/.566 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 116 runs scored, and Bogaerts has produced a line of .307/.383/.566 with 31 homers, 105 RBIs and 102 runs.
The Yankees have gained 6.7 units and are 28-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 16.2 units and are 16-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 19 which went under the total.
Yankees at Red Sox Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only one of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU while the Red Sox have dropped three of their last four.
- New York fielders have zero errors over the last five games, compared to four errors for Boston over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Yankees have a total OPS of .831 this season and an OPS of .831 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .823 overall and .796 against southpaws.
