New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

The New York Yankees will make a road trip to Boston to face off against their AL East rival Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase the action and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-140) as the favorite over New York (+130). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -170 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 8-1 SU and 3-6 ATS. They’ve gained 6.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees are 5-5 SU and have gone 5-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 1.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 4-5 so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 6-4.

The Yankees have gained 2.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 5.3 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Luis Severino (2-0, 1.38 ERA) will get the start for New York. The right-handed Severino recorded 230 strikeouts over 193 innings last year (with only 51 walks) and finished the season 14-6 overall with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. He made four starts against the Red Sox in 2017 and compiled a 2-1 record against them with a 3.33 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

The BoSox are turning to lefty Chris Sale (0-0, 0.82 ERA), who recorded 308 strikeouts in 214 innings last year (32 starts). Sale finished the season 17-8 overall with a 2.90 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He made five starts against the Yankees a year ago and registered a 0-3 record with a 2.65 ERA and 50 strikeouts.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 2.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 1.70 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In seven games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 1.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.09.

Boston’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .278/.349/.448 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Shortstop Xander Bogaerts and outfielder Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters so far. Bogaerts is hitting .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .364/.475/.545 with 12 hits, two RBIs and eight runs.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.19 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.89, along with a K-per-9 of 13.39.

Yankees hitters have slashed .237/.335/.412 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is hitting .375/.524/.906 with 12 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .289 with 11 hits, two homers, seven RBIs and eight runs scored.

Gregorius didn’t perform especially well against lefty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .287/.317/.478).